Guaraní vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
CON
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
PAL
4 - 1
GUA
70%
20%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEN
3 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 3
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 4
SAN
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 2
SAO
9%
19%
72%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
ITU
0 - 0
UNI
48%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
SAO
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 3
UNI
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |