Guaraní vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
JUV
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
LON
2 - 2
GUA
46%
30%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CAX
0 - 2
GUA
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 1
LON
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
TOM
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 1
MAD
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
TUP
1 - 1
TOM
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 2
POR
26%
28%
46%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +1 |