Guaraní vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
CRI
2 - 2
GUA
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAO
2 - 3
GUA
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 2
RIO
54%
25%
22%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ICA
64%
22%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPO
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 2
SAN
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 2
SPO
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
NAU
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |