Guaraní vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
2 - 1
GUA
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
0 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1988 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPO
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1988 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPO
52%
24%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1988 |
SPO
0 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
SPO
1 - 0
GUA
43%
28%
29%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
GUA
1 - 1
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |