Guaraní vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
GUA
3 - 3
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
GUA
2 - 1
ATM
54%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
ATM
0 - 0
GUA
51%
27%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1987 |
GUA
1 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
GUA
3 - 3
SAO
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1987 |
AME
1 - 1
SAO
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 0
AME
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1987 |
SAO
2 - 0
FLU
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |