Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 4-10
Guaraní vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
68.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
8 - 1
GUA
87%
10%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAT
59%
22%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 1
GUA
37%
24%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
4 - 0
AUD
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
8 - 1
GUA
87%
10%
4%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
4 - 2
SER
95%
4%
1%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 3
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |