Guaraní vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 4
PPE
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2002 |
PAL
4 - 2
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
COT
0 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
FLA
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
PAY
2 - 1
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
SAN
1 - 2
POR
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
SAO
3 - 2
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |