Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 1-2
Guaraní vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAP
41%
25%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 2
GUA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CEO
1 - 2
SAN
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
57%
23%
21%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
COR
4 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
CSA
40%
27%
33%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |