Guaraní vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 2
SCI
19%
29%
53%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 3
LON
37%
29%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CRB
1 - 1
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
CRI
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 1
SAN
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
PAR
4 - 0
SAN
36%
29%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOA
66%
22%
13%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |