Guaraní vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 3
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
53%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
4 - 1
RIO
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
3 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
40%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 1
RIO
35%
25%
39%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |