Guaraní vs Rio Preto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
LIN
0 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
GUA
24%
24%
53%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
JUV
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
BAH
2 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Preto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
AUD
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
CAT
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
4 - 1
RIO
53%
23%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |