Guaraní vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
BAT
0 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 2
CAP
41%
25%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 2
UNI
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
3 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
49%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 1
RIO
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
BAT
2 - 2
RIO
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |