Guaraní vs RB Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
23%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
ITA
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MIR
1 - 1
GUA
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 1
FER
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
RBB
0 - 2
CAP
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 1
RBB
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
RBB
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
RBB
3 - 1
VEL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 3
RBB
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |