Guaraní vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
39%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
GUA
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAM
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 0
OES
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +4 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 0
XVD
46%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
FLA
26%
28%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
LON
54%
26%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
PPE
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
PPE
25%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
PPE
0 - 1
PAY
67%
22%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |