Guaraní vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
PAL
26%
27%
47%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 0
GUA
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
PAL
24%
27%
48%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
BOT
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
COR
2 - 3
PPE
69%
20%
11%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
ATL
36%
24%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 2
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
XVD
2 - 1
PPE
27%
23%
50%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 1
PPE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |