Guaraní vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
ABC
2 - 1
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
NAU
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VIL
0 - 0
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 1
BRA
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
GUA
48%
26%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
GOI
2 - 1
PPE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
PPE
1 - 0
SAL
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
2 - 0
PPE
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |