Guaraní vs Paysandu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
FFL
0 - 0
GUA
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
COT
0 - 2
GUA
49%
27%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
OES
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 1
GUA
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
AVA
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
PAY
4 - 3
OES
34%
28%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
PAY
55%
26%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 1
COT
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FOR
1 - 0
PAY
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 1
CRB
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |