Guaraní vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 2
MOG
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ITU
2 - 2
GUA
29%
24%
46%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
XVD
2 - 3
GUA
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
PAU
1 - 1
BOT
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
PAU
72%
19%
10%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
PAU
39%
26%
36%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
PAU
3 - 1
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
PAU
46%
23%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |