Guaraní vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
37.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 2
ATP
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2001 |
GUA
4 - 1
CAX
89%
9%
3%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
12%
23%
65%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
PAL
2 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2000 |
GUA
3 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 2
RIV
61%
20%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
UCH
2 - 1
PAL
28%
25%
46%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 2
BOC
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2001 |
BOC
2 - 2
PAL
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2001 |
CRZ
2 - 2
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |