Guaraní vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 0
ALI
87%
9%
4%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 4
GUA
61%
25%
15%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
3 - 0
GUA
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1979 |
ALI
0 - 3
GUA
27%
27%
46%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
4 - 0
ALI
76%
14%
9%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 2
UNI
83%
12%
5%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
PAL
1 - 4
GUA
61%
25%
15%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
UNI
2 - 5
PAL
25%
28%
47%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
ALI
2 - 4
PAL
22%
28%
50%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |