Guaraní vs Palmeiras II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
URO
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
URO
4 - 4
GUA
29%
25%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Palmeiras II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 3
RIO
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 1
ATL
26%
23%
51%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
XVD
1 - 1
SEP
71%
18%
11%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
1 - 3
RBB
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 2
SAO
33%
24%
43%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |