Guaraní vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1979 |
GUA
2 - 2
PAL
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1979 |
GUA
6 - 1
UNI
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
PAL
69%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1979 |
PAL
0 - 2
OLI
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1979 |
OLI
2 - 1
GUA
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
OLI
3 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
OLI
4 - 2
JWI
72%
16%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |