Guaraní vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
40.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BOA
3 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
6 - 0
ABC
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -3 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
ASA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
NAU
0 - 2
OES
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 2
JEC
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 1
OES
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 0
AVA
30%
29%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
0 - 0
OES
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |