Guaraní vs Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
GOI
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 4
GUA
16%
24%
60%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
PAR
3 - 0
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
ICA
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
TUP
3 - 1
OES
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
OES
0 - 3
TUP
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MIR
3 - 1
OES
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -5 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OES
3 - 1
MIR
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
OES
0 - 1
CIA
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -2 |