Guaraní vs Novorizontino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUA
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
PAL
12%
24%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 2
GUA
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
GUA
0 - 1
COR
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Novorizontino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
NOV
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAN
15%
23%
63%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 0
SAN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
3 - 1
FER
35%
27%
38%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SAO
0 - 2
NOV
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |