Guaraní vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
GUA
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAX
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MOG
1 - 1
GUA
57%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 0
GUA
25%
26%
49%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAC
13%
18%
69%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
0 - 0
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2013 |
MAC
2 - 3
BOA
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
MAC
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 2
MAC
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |