Guaraní vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 4
MIL
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAR
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 0
CRB
68%
20%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SAN
4 - 2
GUA
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 3
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ATP
1 - 1
JEC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CRB
4 - 3
JEC
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
JEC
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
73%
16%
11%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
29%
24%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |