Guaraní vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAN
26%
28%
47%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 0
GUA
15%
22%
63%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
CHA
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAH
1 - 1
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 1
VAS
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LON
0 - 2
ITU
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
SAM
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |