Guaraní vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 2
BAR
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 0
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
GUA
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 3
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
FER
1 - 2
GUA
22%
22%
55%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 2
NOR
56%
23%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
2 - 1
ATI
26%
22%
52%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +2 |