Guaraní vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
FLA
1 - 1
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 2
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
21%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
33%
25%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 4
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 1
GRE
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 3
LIN
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
GRE
0 - 2
SAO
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 2
GRE
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |