Guaraní vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
1 - 3
PPE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
GUA
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
COT
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
FOR
3 - 0
GUA
36%
26%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
GUA
5 - 3
FLA
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
GOI
6 - 1
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 0
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
ATP
0 - 0
FLU
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
SAO
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATM
37%
25%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |