Guaraní vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
GUA
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
2 - 0
CRZ
37%
26%
38%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
GRE
1 - 0
GUA
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 1
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 1
FLA
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2001 |
NAC
4 - 1
FLA
31%
24%
44%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
1 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
FLA
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |