Guaraní vs Figueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
53.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
BRA
0 - 1
GUA
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAM
53%
25%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
FFL
2 - 1
CEA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
POR
3 - 1
FFL
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
1 - 0
ABC
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
IFC
2 - 2
FFL
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
FFL
0 - 2
SAO
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |