Guaraní vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
GRÊ
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
MAR
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
45%
25%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 2
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BAT
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
1 - 0
FER
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 5
FER
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
CAT
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MON
2 - 1
FER
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |