Guaraní vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
3 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2002 |
GUA
0 - 2
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 4
PPE
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
POR
2 - 0
GUA
47%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
41%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
VIT
1 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
1 - 1
SAN
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
4 - 2
VAS
42%
24%
34%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2002 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
52%
23%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BAH
2 - 1
PPE
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |