Guaraní vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
PPE
32%
30%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
GUA
53%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAM
55%
26%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 1
GUA
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 0
OES
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +4 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 3
CSA
55%
26%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
COT
2 - 1
CRI
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
0 - 1
PPE
29%
29%
43%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
CRI
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
CRI
1 - 0
HER
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |