Guaraní vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
GUA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAY
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
FFL
1 - 1
GUA
61%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAL
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
CRI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
1 - 2
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 2
COT
49%
25%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2004 |
SAN
4 - 2
COT
69%
18%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |