Guaraní vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 3
GUA
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
SAO
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
GUA
23%
24%
54%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
COM
1 - 1
GUA
24%
23%
53%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 0
COM
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
COM
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |