Guaraní vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ARN
3 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
JUV
4 - 1
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
BAH
33%
28%
40%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GUA
2 - 1
CEA
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
1 - 0
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
DUQ
1 - 4
CAM
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 3
POR
18%
25%
57%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ABC
1 - 2
CAM
63%
21%
15%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
2 - 2
PAR
22%
25%
54%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |