Guaraní vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
GUA
55%
26%
19%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
MAD
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
TOM
1 - 2
GUA
42%
29%
29%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
JUV
1 - 1
GUA
53%
27%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 1
TUP
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
MAD
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
TOM
0 - 0
BRA
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
LON
34%
29%
37%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAX
1 - 2
BRA
40%
29%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
GUA
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |