Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-2
Guaraní vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAT
1 - 2
GUA
26%
23%
51%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
LIN
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
PPE
1 - 1
GUA
57%
22%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
MIR
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 0
BRA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 1
BOT
54%
23%
22%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 0
DUQ
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
86%
11%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
3 - 1
VAS
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |