Série C Final
Global 1-4
Guaraní vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
27.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
6 - 0
ABC
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2016 |
ABC
4 - 0
GUA
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -3 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
GUA
3 - 0
ASA
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ASA
3 - 1
GUA
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
YPI
2 - 2
GUA
32%
30%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
2 - 1
JUV
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
BOA
45%
28%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 0
BOT
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
BOA
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 4
BOA
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | -1 |