Guaraní vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
0 - 1
VFC
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
ARA
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
GUA
3 - 3
MAR
31%
25%
45%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 0
LIN
53%
22%
25%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 3
AUD
39%
24%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VFC
1 - 2
AUD
38%
25%
38%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
AUD
2 - 0
OSV
69%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
1 - 2
AUD
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |