Guaraní vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
GUA
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
0 - 2
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
CAT
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
0 - 0
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
OES
33%
25%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
4 - 0
SAN
40%
26%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |