Guaraní vs Atlético Sorocaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
23%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 0
URO
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
21%
24%
55%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
URO
4 - 4
GUA
29%
25%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 0
UNI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
SAO
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 1
ATL
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
SAO
44%
24%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
0 - 3
ATL
53%
23%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
2 - 0
RIO
55%
22%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |