Guaraní vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
38.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2002 |
GUA
1 - 1
PAR
54%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
PAR
2 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 1
AME
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
AME
1 - 2
GUA
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
GUA
1 - 2
SAN
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2002 |
BRA
2 - 1
ATP
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
ATP
0 - 3
BRA
90%
7%
3%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
BAH
4 - 3
ATP
43%
24%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
ATP
2 - 1
BAH
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
SCI
3 - 2
ATP
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |