Guaraní vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 1
GUA
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
OES
1 - 0
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 0
GUA
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
0 - 0
LUV
36%
29%
35%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
2 - 1
BAT
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AGU
0 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TAU
1 - 0
AGU
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
FER
0 - 0
AGU
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 2
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |