Guaraní vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 1
AGU
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
CAM
0 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
GUA
4 - 2
DUQ
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 2
GUA
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 2
GUA
49%
23%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
CRZ
4 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
POR
2 - 2
SPO
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
POR
0 - 0
GOI
35%
27%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
FLU
3 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
25%
27%
49%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |