Guaraní A. Franco vs Unión Mar del Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
SPB
1 - 0
GAF
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
CSE
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 2
GIM
37%
30%
33%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
DHA
0 - 1
GAF
47%
28%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GAF
0 - 0
ALB
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Mar del Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
UNI
4 - 1
CHA
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
RSA
0 - 1
UNI
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
INS
1 - 1
UNI
71%
19%
10%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
CCS
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 1
GBR
46%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |