Guaraní A. Franco vs Sportivo Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guaraní A. Franco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
GAF
1 - 2
CFE
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
DCM
0 - 1
GAF
72%
19%
9%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2017 |
GAF
2 - 3
JAN
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
SJO
3 - 0
GAF
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
GAF
0 - 1
CDN
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
0 - 2
CDN
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
CFE
0 - 0
SPA
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 3
SAR
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
DCM
0 - 1
SPA
75%
18%
8%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 0
AHZ
60%
23%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |